Ariel Rusila's Conflicts [Ex-BalkanPerspective]

T he Mideast peace process is now on the edge of collapse and the parties desperately are looking for a package of measures which would be the basis for extending talks beyond the original deadline at the end of April 2014. Ironically one could note that now talks are ongoing only to find whom to blame about failure of peace process.   The Obama administration's efforts to impose a peace settlement seems to be a disastrous failure despite whether the negotiations formally break down or a face-saving formula is adopted which is nonbinding and incorporates sufficient reservations to make it meaningless. It seems that U.S. is preparing for a possible reduction of its involvement in the Israel-Palestinian peace process and Obama administration is taking position that Israel and Palestinians need to work through current deadlock themselves. Abed Rabbo (SG of PLO) might hit the nail on the head saying "We can't return to the empty routine, a search for a framework for talks - ...

Prologue T ransnistrian claim for independence is being met with a certain degree of sympathy and understanding by some of the western experts. As an example, a Finnish political analyst and blogger Ari Rusila can be named; he usually presents the Transnistrian de facto statehood in quite a positive light, admitting, in particular, that “Transnistria called my attention first because of its quite ready statehood elements without outside recognition, second because of changed circumstances in respect for international law after Kosovo unilateral declaration of independence and thirdly because I predicted that Trandnistria could be the next tinderbox of separatism between Georgian conflict and coming troubles in Ukraine” . He believes that Transnistria, if compared with Kosovo, has had in fact much more reasons to be recognised internationally. The quote above is from a paper Transnistrian Conflict: State of Affairs and Prospects of Settlement   prepared for the ...

I nstead of long analysis I have collected here some flash of trivia – figures and views - related to ongoing events in Ukraine: An U.S. view: and with more details: Peoples in Ukraine vote: Peoples in Crimea think: and more precisely: German "Der Tagesspiegel" ongoing poll - How should the West react to Russia's offensive in Ukraine. The results of 12000+ votes A n other German view: Some historical perspective: The choice: And the bottom line: Whereas something stays over century through conflicts and politics: Swallow nest castle in Crimea Earlier about Ukrain e 2014 case : Crimea: The referendum, the mote and the beam, by Jan Oberg Crimean referendum overshadows Euromaiden Crime Farewell Ukrainian Independency And Democracy Ukraine’s Would-be Coup As New Example About US Gangsterism And earlier about Ukrain e: Ukraine: End of Orange Revolution, start of Stabilisation Ukraine – choosing a ne...

“ Nur eine Partnerschaft mit der EU und Russland kann der Ukraine Stabilität geben.” (Manfred Schünemann) T he situation in Ukraine is chaotic and tense and even on the verge of military confrontation . Kiev is seems to be under rule of former opposition groups while the Strasserian protestors are still waiting if new government is acting with their expectations; Crimea is in Russian control, eastern provincies don't accept rule from Kiev and ethnic minorities feel thread of neo-nazi groups which occupied the initiative of Maidan; ignored average citizens know the totally corrupted political system but not how to fix it. From my perspective the future of Ukraine looks grim, it still lacks rule of law, genuine political parties, a meritocratic civil service and movement to change situation. Due de facto bankrupty of state economic and social decisions would be taken abroad, conflict between political elite and people the foreign aid will be shared among politicians and ol...